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Three Scenarios for a Credit Crisis

Alfonso Desiderio - card Laura Channels

The current financial crisis is also a geopolitical crisis and particularly the American system overall. Limes suggests three alternative hypotheses: Chimera (new agreement, U.S. and China); Chimerica EuRussia + (new Bretton Woods global G8 and emerging countries); havoc with the tightening of the imbalances and conflicts.

http://temi.repubblica.it/limes/tre-scenari-per-una-crisi/

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The Empire

Alfonso Desiderio - card Laura Channels

American hegemony based on the influx of external resources - goods, capital, energy, especially from Asia - is in crisis. The credit of others is explained by the recognition of the primacy of the United States as guarantors of the international system, but America can no longer afford to live with a huge foreign debt and other significant deficits. The American system is a worldwide system, and then the crisis is a crisis of all. It opened a global conflict in which those who may try to download the weakest or adverse consequences to take advantage of the misfortunes of others

http://temi.repubblica.it/limes/limpero-a-credito/

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Phenomenology

The crash financial and economic crises have been frequent occurrences in the economic history of the West. Federico Rampini traces a long history that the stock market crash in Amsterdam in 1637 and finally to the current subprime crisis, through what remains the most economically critical moment in our century: the Black Tuesday of 1929.

Since then, despite the advent of the Keynesian welfare state policies, financial crises have followed every time powered by the same mechanisms of speculation.

According Rampini, differences among the major financial meltdown of the past and the present ones are faster and in greater social impact due to the involvement of investment famiglie.Insolvenze, bubbles, financial crises. Tremble the foundations of the sanctuaries of capitalism. Speculation and mistrust between the West is uncertain about what should I do to avoid disaster .[...]

Just as natural disasters, financial crashes are commonplace, then horribly rates. They are part of the physiological functioning of capitalism. Indeed, their origins date back to the proto-capitalism, as one of the most famous crash in history was the great panic of the stock exchange in Amsterdam in February 1637, when after two years of frenzied speculation collapsed suddenly the prices of futures on the bulbs of tulips. History repeats itself with striking similarities.

What changes in the latest crash is the order of magnitude of wealth destruction, so the audience of the victims. It thickens the interconnection between all sectors of the economy, and between nations far away. Growing popular savings invested in financial instruments, and the privatized retirement entrusts his capital on the stock exchanges, banks, insurance companies. Potential social impact of the crash, then you deeper and deeper, but for the same reason it is more robust arsenal of economic policies to cushion the consequences.

Finally, thanks to technology, the collapse of today have more and more rapidly. The crises of the past developed their tremors over many months, can now learn extraordinary reversals in a few hours. An announcement in New York is reflected in thousandths of a second index of Shanghai and Tokyo, London and Moscow.

Since today the epicenter of a dramatic financial crisis in America, it must be remembered that the very existence of the United States was held in baptism by a crash. The first president, George Washington, was in his first term when he had to deal with the first financial panic. Source there was the reckless speculation in government bonds issued during the war of independence from the states of Massachusetts and South Carolina. In March 1792 the bubble burst, forcing the fledgling nation for emergency measures. Treasury Secretary Alexander Hamilton gave orders to banks to accept securities as collateral for bad loans and to support economic activity: something very similar to the various branches of the emergency created by the Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke in recent months to provide liquidity sistema.Se to more than two centuries in America hit the crash point such as hurricanes, including their international dimension is not entirely new.

One hundred years ago the great panic of 1907 was the first crisis of "global" of the twentieth century. In the month of October, the Wall Street stock index lost 37% of its value, throughout America crowds of investors gave the bank run banks including scenes of violence and despair, the credit system was paralyzed for weeks. The "perfect storm" of that year had as protagonists of the giants of history, President Theodore Roosevelt to the banker J. Pierpont Morgan. The repercussions were immediate and profound even in Europe, and England had come to the aid of former American subjects with a naval expedition of gold bullion. The echo of those events has never been extinguished.

The proverbial superstition of investors called into question the "curse of 1907" when Wall Street suffered another of the worst collapses in its history, October 19, 1987, with a fall of 23% in the Standard & Poor's 500. Already in 1908 the financier Henry Clews in his memoirs identified three main causes of the disaster last year that sound familiar: "The over-investment in the property market, easy credit, the manipulations of high finance."

The crash remains the most nefarious of 1929. Not just for violence of the fall by the Dow Jones had undergone, which lost 13% in one session of 28 October, followed by the sudden end in the next Black Tuesday, the 29th. In fact in history to establish the severity of that collapse were subsequent events. For mistakes in monetary policy and economic measures of President Herbert Hoover, the collapse of Wall Street helped to trigger a spiral of protectionism, the fall in international trade, then the Great Depression. In 1931, the American Stock Exchange had lost 89% of its value from the peaks of 1929 but were far more serious social consequences. The whole world was overwhelmed by deflation: farm prices fell by 40-60%, wages and production Industrial fell, the unemployment rate in America came to 25% in 1933. Four years after the crash on Wall Street, in 1933 an average of one thousand Americans a day suffered the seizure of their home to insolvency. The mass misery and social tensions contributed to the advent of Nazism in Germany. The severity of the crisis of historic proportions inspired innovations: the New Deal of Franklin Delano Roosevelt laid the foundations of the welfare state, Keynesian policies to support employment of large state investment programs in infrastructure. But it was only the increase of war production related to World War II to "cure" definitely the longest recession of the twentieth century. In postwar America in the crash was the most famous of the Savings and Loans. A prolonged banking crisis for years.

Between 1986 and 1995 almost half of the 3,234 savings banks had to close due to bankruptcy. In 1989 Congress created a separate federal agency, the Resolution Trust Corporation to take losses, repay depositors, to absorb the portfolio of failed institutions, and investigate the responsibility of the disaster. As filed for bankruptcy, the federal government found itself temporarily owner of disparate items that customers had provided as collateral to banks for trust: the Resolution Trust Corp. ended among other paintings by Picasso and Andy Warhol, a colonial-era distelleria of whiskey, and 800 bottles of chilled sperm of a Brahma bull for breeding.

The latest crash is still fresh in memory: the shocks caused by international shocks such as insolvency of Mexico (the crash of Tequila Bonds in 1995), the Asian financial crisis of dragoons in 1997, the bankruptcy of Russia in 1998. [...] The lessons that history teaches us of the crash are extraordinarily simple.

Three constants are repeated for centuries. Every financial disaster is invariably preceded by a "bubble", a period of speculative excesses. Each bubble is fueled by lax monetary conditions, easy credit, and the conviction of the masses of investors that a certain category of investment is intended to increase infinity. Whether it is real estate, stocks or oil, there will always be a "theory" to show the absolute rationality of prices and ever increasing absurd.

The second historical constant: for every self-respecting crash follows a period of reform, development of new rules, more restrictions and controls.

The third constant: the new laws enacted as soon as the race rages around them and prepare for the advent of the next bubble.

Federico Rampini, La Repubblica, 10/02/2008

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IMF Crisis: The worst crisis since 1930, Italy in recession in 2009

In its latest report on the world economy, the IMF does not mince words and defines the economic crisis of recent months as "the worst since 1930." The Fund describes global economy slows down from +5% in 2007 to 3.9% in 2008 to curb more than +3% in 2009, a pace that many experts consider the edge of recession. According to analysts of the Fund "the world economy is entering a growing economic depression because of the most dangerous financial shock to the advanced economies by the year

Thirty. " In July, the IMF estimated the world economy grew by 4.1% in 2008 and 3.9% in 2009. But now things have changed. "Many advanced economies - the report said - are close, or already entered a recession, while growth in emerging economies has weakened." The guilt and 'especially the financial crisis, which after the collapse of the subprime in August 2007 is "worse in the last six months" and has entered a "tumultuous new phase in September." "There is no recovery in sight - the report says - and when it will be gradual." However, the IMF provides that "a gradual recovery is expected to emerge towards the end of 2009." There are three driving factors: the prices of raw materials, which are stabilizing, the U.S. housing sector crisis, which should touch the bottom at the end of 2009 and the emerging countries, which continue to trawl. The IMF expects the U.S. economy will grow by 1, 6% this year, 0.3% more than previously estimated in July, but will slow dramatically in 2009, rising only 0.1%, 0.7 % less than in July. In hard braking the ' Eurozone will grow by only 1, 3% this year (-0.4% compared to July) and just 0.2% in 2009 (-1% compared to July). Among the European economies, Italy is among the worst, surpassed only by Ireland. Our country in 2008 and 2009 will go into recession and will shrink the GDP respectively by 0.1% and 0.2%. Germany too bad that the Fund will increase by 1 second, 8% this year and will post zero growth next, while France will see its GDP rise by only 0.8% and 0.2% in 2008 and 2009. Braking Britain, whose economy is' still expected positive growth of 1% this year and negative growth of 0.1% next year. Outside Europe braking Japan, whose GDP will increase from 2.1% in 2007 to +0.7% in 2008 and +0.5% in 2009. China will see its GDP shrink slightly and stellar pass from 11.9% last year to +9.7% and +9.3% this year and next. India too slow going from 9.3% to 7.9% in 2008 to +6.9% in 2009. "Looking ahead - says the World Economic Outlook - financial conditions remain very difficult, restricting the prospects for global economic growth." "According to the baseline scenario - the report says - the actions of U.S. and European authorities succeed in stabilizing financial conditions and avoiding further systemic events. However, even winning the U.S. plan will have an application that aims to remove financial statements of the activists' most dangerous counterparty risks remain at exceptionally high levels for some time and a slow return to a more liquid financial market. " "However - continues - they are very likely other losses in the banking sector as the economy decelerates. In this situation, the financial institutions' ability to rake fresh capital remains very difficult and limits on credit creation will continue at least through 2009. "

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The Berlusconi government's anti-crisis measures

In a recent meeting, Berlusconi said the government has provided € 35 million to be allocated to families for the new born. This would € 5,000 to be returned later with a 4% interest to be found in a fund at the disposal of the Secretary to the Prime Minister, Carlo Giovanardi.

Nothing for now on the taxation of the thirteenth. The government said it "must deal" pointing out that resources are scarce.

Otherwise, the invitation of the Prime Minister to be optimistic and take note of the proposals made by the employers' associations: thirteenth addition to the tax relief, particularly dear to trade associations, the request for tax breaks for companies that reinvest profits, came from Confindustria. But the government said "must deal" stressing that the resources are scarce. Also
Development Minister Claudio Scajola said that the fund will be released a week from 600 million in credit to enterprises in difficulty allocated by the Prodi government but blocked by the Constitutional Court. Dumbledore's Economy Minister Giulio Tremonti who merely take note of the requests.
The president of Confindustria, Emma Marcegaglia, said that companies - even aware of the difficult economic situation - they should be supported by the taxation of profits reinvested in capitalization, an automatic increase in the maximum tax credits from 516,000 to one million and rising to 40% of the cap on the deductibility of interest expense. As
possible further government intervention in favor of banks, Marcegaglia said: "We believe that banks can be strengthened, but it is important that there is no interference of politics and that they keep their private structure. It 'true that intervention, however, as the other countries may be useful "
To those who wondered if the banks had given guarantees for loans, Marcegaglia said:" From Faissola has come a very strong commitment to support the claim. Tomorrow we have the second table with the banks on the trust and public administration. "
The meeting was attended, in addition to Berlusconi, Tremonti and Scajola, Gianni Letta, Undersecretary to the Presidency, the Ministers of Infrastructure Matteoli, the Civil Service Renato Brunetta.

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policies against depression

In '29, out of the crisis affected countries adopted almost all the same policies, inspired by Keynesian principles and then to more state intervention in the economy. But not right away. The rulers were quick to intervene, because the economic concepts related to the effect that a liberal state interference in the economy was considered harmful. Economists who followed the liberal orthodoxy were convinced that the market alone would be able to eliminate the crisis and restore economic balance. The state should restrict itself to having to provide a sound currency and a government budget in balance. The results of neoliberal policies were not satisfactory, and the United States claimed the presidency in favor of the Republican Hoover Franklin Delano Roosevelt Democrat. Domestic demand was supported by the policy of "Deficit Spendig" (deficit spending) that drew on the theories of Keynes. The state went so everywhere a number of public works (land reclamation, construction of roads, electrification, etc. ...), which provided useful goods, but not sold on the market and which provide remuneration to workers who could well have money to spend to support private consumption. In the U.S. intervention was implemented with the "New Deal" (New Course) of President Roosevelt. Even in Italy the state intervention was particularly decisive. Were carried on the "Battle of Wheat" and "reclamation", were built many public works, he conceded the household workers and expanded social insurance. In 1933 he was made a public institution, the IRI (Institute for Industrial Reconstruction), which took its industrial shareholdings held by banks saved with the aim of later selling them to individuals. But only the reset and the outbreak of the Second World War finally put an end to the long depression of the thirties and could riassorbile unemployment.

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... and Some Differences

are still more in common than those that distinguish what is happening in these month from the deep crisis of the last century, both technical / financial and economic, come in order:

1. Looking at stock prices in recent years and the path that led to the highest elevations of 2007, we see a reduced volatility and rising every day excursions of limited scope, and before October 29, 1929 was used to observe actions interrelated + 50% in a single sitting. Even the increases and volatility of the last 90 years and the first months of 2000 were significantly more intense the period 2003-2007, in this sense the excitement for the new economy was a decidedly more like the euphoria preceding the '29.

2. The interest rates of maturity of the current crisis are quite different from those of that time, indeed the rates of recent years have been about a ¼ of those who turned in the late 20's / 30's. You must also remember that on the diffusion of stock markets was minimal and not comparable to the present, in fact few and restricted stock markets across the globe, "open outcry" among other things, against the dozens of markets "telematics" in today, which involves a number of players, speed and a number of operations even remotely comparable, almost like move a bullock cart to a Formula 1 car. The economic context in which they gained the recent market losses equity is, strictly speaking, still growing, one, albeit limited, that expansion has little to do with the Great Depression. Until proven otherwise the amount of wealth at the global level continues to grow and the IMF has projected for 2008 and 2009 global growth rates above 4% a year, so even a trace of depression measured.

The very fact that in 1929 the USA is the great flywheel of industrialization, is very different from the framework of a globalized economy with a large number of industrialized countries, both emerging and established, producing and consuming wealth, in a context free-market spread. There are many realities, inter alia, that will limit the damage caused by the crisis, the actors who will remain at the window taking every opportunity to acquire interesting companies at well, just think of the Middle East or to finance major new Chinese investors may make purchases of large American companies in sensational saldo.Grande and substantial is the difference of the countermeasures taken to crisis started: in 1929 the same bankers, to avert a disaster, put your wallet to make purchases on public and sensational listed shares went down in history when JP Morgan, along with other bankers, at a session proclaimed loudly its purchases of securities on the NYSE further, trying to spread optimism, which was never actually sent.

In these days instead of the banks to ask for help to governments and supranational institutions that are currently treating only the symptoms, by injecting large amounts of cash to prevent the collapse, but will endeavor to discuss new and more effective rules for the markets trying to eliminate those carcinogens that financial engineering has introduced in recent years and reducing overall is speculation that the leverage now far too large within the system.

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Some Similarities ...

In the speech with which, on October 2 last year, has called for the approval of the Paulson plan by the House of Representatives (850 billion dollars American taxpayers can not be used to purchase securities evaluated) President George W. Bush has raised the scenario of a "long and painful recession" as a direct consequence of inaction. Although he has not directly called into question the American Great Depression began with the stock market crash of 1929, the reference to those dramatic years is implied for every American. It's worth analyzing the two situations, highlighting some similarities. First among the elements assonant be recorded that both crises explode after a long period of Republican domination. In the years before the Great Depression, in fact, had three successive Presidents 'red', which shared a We endeavor to laissez-faire economic and tax cuts. In the last three decades of U.S. government policy was similar: after the mandates Ronald Reagan and Bush Sr., the scepter of power has been twice in the hands of Bill Clinton, a Democrat who seemed to have lost the legacy of progressive ideas of a Roosevelt and a Lyndon Johnson, also resulting in neutral, if not accommodating, compared to the excesses of financial speculation, in Clinton, as noted, the following two terms of George W. Bush, on whose total subservience to the dictates of economic power has been said and written so much here that is not worth anything more. Another element common to the crisis of the thirties and the current is that in both cases are the most vulnerable populations, particularly minorities, who suffer the effects more dramatic. In the late 20's, the collapse of the cotton market broke up the widespread system of sharecropping and millions of African-Americans had to emigrate to the cities of the American South, where racial discrimination made it almost impossible to access new opportunities and even work to support programs promoted by the government. One thing above all: about half of African-Americans and Latinos who have purchased property in 2005 did so through sub-prime mortgages (the same indicator, applied to the subset of white people, do not get to 20%) . Considerations political and ethical issues aside, then as now the vast economic inequality in the country is an important element of vulnerability of the system: 20 years, despite the growth in wages, the real benefit of the government were the rich, it was granted significant tax relief. Eighty years later, the bill is always the "Forgotten Man" spoken of by Roosevelt in a famous speech in 1932: the man in the street, losing jobs, housing and finance. The collapse of the housing market makes it illiquid assets of banks that eventually collapse, while the country is screwed into a recession more and more dramatic. Thus, the Forgotten Man, as well as forgotten, is also ruined and helplessly at the unfortunate spectacle of a system that uses their taxes to bail out banks, the main cause of his downfall.

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The Contagion in Europe

POLICY FAILS U.S. NOW AND GLOBAL INSTABILITY

Monday, September 29 is the most hectic day much of the last twenty years on Wall Street that Congress in Washington. Despite the long preparatory negotiations, the U.S. House rejects (with 228 votes against, 205 in favor) rescue package of 700 billion dollars developed by Treasury Secretary Paulson and President Bush. Another vote can be no earlier than Thursday, October 2, to seek agreement on a new text, while in the evening the president authorizes the use of foreign exchange stabilization fund.

A Wall Street news of the rejection of the plan sent the stock market into a panic: the Black Monday market of the S & P 500 fall marks the most wide crisis of 1987, while European stock markets have lost between 4 and 5% on concerns about the soundness of some large banks.

Nobody expected that the systemic failure in America could come from politics, but it's true: both Barack Obama and John McCain are calling on their parties to cooperate, but you lose precious time. Already the delay of a week leading to the closure of Wachovia, the fourth U.S. bank, recorded Sept. 28 at the last minute by Citigroup. The vote on the plan that would satisfy both parties has failed miserably, not only from the right are opposed ideologically motivated against state intervention in the market, but by adding 95 Democratic "no" to consider the package packaged to save the Republican Wall Street and greedy bankers who stole behind the American middle class.

After days of feverish negotiations with Modig the Paulson plan, while the markets remain in a wait state close to fibrillation, Friday, October 3rd the Bush plan becomes law, launching a total floor bank rescue and support the economy of 850miliardi dollars.

But markets no longer believe the assurances of politics: October 6, despite the U.S. plan, is launched, the global lists are facing a new "Black Monday". The global stock markets burn 2.2 trillion dollars, led to falls in bank stocks, oil and telecoms.

TSUNAMI OF OCTOBER TO THE TOP WORLD, ONE YEAR IN BURNED 25 thousand BILLION DOLLARS

Autumn of 2008 for world stock markets is the worst period 1933. The S & P 500 index on Wall Street, believed to be the main barometer of the health of global finance, mark ups and downs on a scale unique in history, and international experts are now well understood that the financial crisis is going to transformed into a global recession.

The Week 6 to 10 October will be remembered for the wave of "panic selling, sales by panic: a real tsunami is not just about Wall Street, but also other major world indices are in deep red. According to the World Federation of Exchanges (WFE), the total capitalization of stock markets around the world marked a loss of just under 21 thousand billion dollars and a half times the U.S. GDP. In the month of September on the bonfire of panic selling has been burned almost 6.85 trillion dollars, bringing the total destroyed to 25 trillion dollars last year.

PARALYSIS OF THE LIQUIDITY UPHEAVAL IN THE EUROPEAN CREDIT

"We all underestimated the effects of this crisis," admits the manager of one of the most important hedge fund in London.

But what has actually deteriorated to such an extent as to rush things?

The price of ABS, that is, the paper built on toxic home loans, for the launch of the week October 6 to 12 has remained more or less the same, and the cost of credit default swap rose slightly, we can not say words that have emerged sudden depreciation in the affairs of other banks.

That system, in the cleaning process, it was still in midstream was known. But the actual bailouts from the state of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the "virtual" AEG, combined with the failure of Lehman, and the collapse of Wachovia, rather than create new liabilities have undermined the credibility of the system, triggering a rush to withdraw deposits at banks and freezing of U.S. and UK made the interbank market. None taken more money to anyone, challenge even the healthiest banks' operations that are no longer able to manage normal cash flows.

All this was compounded by the crisis of credibility to the financial authorities and U.S. and European policies, given the controversy, the silences and uncoordinated measures taken by governments in the Old Continent. For financial institutions, trust is the main factor. This explains the sharp rise in Libor rates, while government bond yields are falling to historic lows, driven by a huge flow of incoming demand by all. Institutional investors, large and small, as well as investors fleeing from risky assets and seeking safety in the only port left, the securities guaranteed by the state.

Beyond the heightened concerns of an impending recession, the shares have come to represent the financial activity most ill-treated: directly, because the lack of confidence leads to getting rid of bank securities and insurance indirectly, because the stock markets have remained (in addition to government bonds), one of the few functioning markets. With that money now non-existent, for those who need or want to make cash sale of shares is the only viable solution.

source "ilsole24ore"

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Ummarells the verge of a nervous breakdown

But we want to talk about how dangerous the old men of modern times? We want to tell the
Gramps armed with a stick and with a butcher knife in his underwear which was introduced stealthily by the back door of the pub and threatened to death because everyone here ... had headaches?! No, but let's talk.
We also talk about the fact that it takes timing to go to the toilet.

The reminder of today is:

before going to urinate, make sure that there is next to the bathroom or less output from the secondary where it will come out of a possible murderess grandfather.

Greetings from surviving

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I AM AGILE

This I have to tell and I will do as they are in bed, motionless and with lactic acid, which allows me the only movement of the fingers on the keyboard of the laptop .
Sunday, December 16, the early opening of the ski slopes of Prali, daily at reasonable prices, I'll try to convince the board to snow, with me, inseparable Franceschigna.

Trauma # 1: THE LIFT.
A hive of people jostle for putting on their gear and evil vying to break into micropassaggio to be a slippery icy inchiappettare a chair that you arrive back at inhuman speed. Apart from that if you've never worn a table already some problems of coordination you've got it ... but other than that you have to challenge the rotating machine, passing first through the micro door and then position without falling to the exact point where the ' huge steel chair will strike you by surprise to make you fall back into its clutches and bring no escape to the top of the mountain. I remind the public that I also suffer from vertigo, so lonely, scared, with the board spenzolante attached to one foot (and I'm afraid to sit with his feet in the air because I'm terrified of losing her shoes), the completely cap pulled down over his eyes to avoid seeing the empty reaches the bottom mannikin shouting: "I do not know SCENDEREEEE" then threw me off the infernal machine rolling on the floor. Among the poor the same scene to which my boyfriend helped by a toothed abominable slams on his knee now winning a pair of lips to Julia Robert. The same scene, but no teeth will be repeated for all other lifts that are touched during the day ... but the last of the return that you have to do with the board in his hand! Imagine, he was already able to breathe so much to fight the blunders of the height! Yet the board in hand! tz '!

Trauma # 2: LA TABLE. Mission
a superhero, get off the cliffs with their feet stuck at 10 and 10. Your heroine chose to have them all in the ass dragging on the ground zoiberg style, but France has done better. First, the utter rejection, then the rethinking has led to me I was stalled for 30 minutes at one point, unable to move with Ivan and I was screaming to catch the people who I darted around. She, smarter, he decides to take off the table, but alas without thinking to stop it by hand, the fact is that I only had time to hear a " aaaaaaaaaaaa aaaaa aaaaaa " , turn around and see Franci sprawling slide to the bottom of the track chasing red table of the 100 € that would pay off if he lost. And so, while slumped in a lawn chair, determined to end his brief career as snowboarders, the legend of the girl slipped behind a table tumbling passed from mouth to mouth ...
While she was resting in the sun I continued to beat my sweet ass on the ground, blaming bad everywhere, hands, wrists, shoulders and tailbone.


CONCLUSION.
I must say that being prevented from helping the socialization, I met a lot of people prevented me how, I knew them rejecting other hand, others still shouting at me from the chair what to do (stemmerde), others I picked up from the ground full of good tips that disappeared half an inch later! Well, after hundreds of blows to the butt, a flight of an angel that has catapulted me to face in the snow and another flight where my knee has almost abandoned me I could do the trail twice throughout the day ( average length of the track: 10 minutes)! Remarkable! I have yet to figure out if I liked it, today I am a human wreck who can not even slicing a sandwich without almost crying for the pain in his arms and sneeze without feeling the pangs excruciating abdominal pain, then I look forward to resuming my physical faculties to figure out if I want try again ... until then do not try to convince me !!!!!!

last comic scene: A friend of ours called to ask timidly among which was .... Moments before this poor boy received a call from France, playing the wrong cell, where he heard her scream aiutoooooooooo, the voice of a man who shouted excitedly your head down! Your head down! and a dull background noise.

France, but have you been kidnapped?!
No, I'm skiing!
Gasp.

Ps.il subjects in the photo is the original.

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Word of mouth led me to various knowledge of two sites that allow you to listen to music on demand, or directly from the site in question and because I find the very nice place you here the two links explaining briefly the difference between the two:

http://www.deezer.com/ : This site allows you to enter an author TUUUTTA and listen to recordings, selecting the album, creating play list at will or to tune in to some stations that broadcast a variety of musical genres.

http://www.lastfm.it/music This however allows you to download a small program that opens directly on the computer where you can type the name of an artist to listen to artists similar to that required, or to choose the kind Music to listen to everything that's available on that genre. The flaw of this program is that you can not choose what to listen to and you can not listen to the songs when you want it, but I really like because it allows you to learn new artists and, above all, for me being lazy is a godsend, you put the songs without having to select them at random!

I hope someone likes these sites as they liked me!
Enjoy!

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regress


Ugh, yes, I know, not so much that I write, I do not know even know what to write! I have performance anxiety because here you have to write well because people will read and comment you ... so I decided to pick up my 24 years, throw it in your tuba and exhume the 15 when he wrote the SMEMA! People, those that they were diaries, as thick as the inside Treccani because we clung to everything and when I say all mica joke from that cicles chewed at that time only to packets of sweets, compressed and glued properly ... phone cards, the notes, receipts, movie tickets ... that diary that weighed 5 pounds, and where each page is repeated in large letters with each and graphic style as the man of your life, this tome brings it to school, backpack, there were more books, in short, the word Smemo contains all this crazy little world ... And in the end I challenge anyone to find the courage to throw away even one Smemoranda ...
But why tell you this?! Why the fifteen newly recreated the secret diary! Maybe a little frightened by all this technology that I wonder why, if all were to disappear tomorrow, where would all my memories?! Also, this related to the problem dell'Alzeimer galloping gave a large contribution at the beginning of this "new" adventure making me go back to writing with pens on paper and real !!!!!!!
reserve this space for news and then missed socially, like the fact that yesterday my friend Frank has been interviewed on TGR blue smocks to talk about the elementary school, or that it had discovered a way to replay the legendary point and click, remember Monkey Island, Sam & Max, Day of The Tentacle, Goblin and many others?, I am spellbound!
I mean, sure there get rid of me so easily, but you will be pardoned some petulant story of my life ... I know I know 'too good ...
A kiss to everyone! HELLO!

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Continue on another blog ..

Dear Friends,
I inform you that from today I'll continue on another blog .. for lack of space for pictures in this blog ..
Who wants to keep up the beautiful dogs to help save and follow us at:

http://incercadifamiglia.blogspot.com/

Thank you so much to all of you !!!!!!!
affection with a hug
ps.non forget, however, that even in this blog there are many dogs waiting for love and family .. I thank you all again ..

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beautiful German Shepherd puppy looking for home ..

BERGAMO, 09/01/2008
adopted in all NORTHERN ITALY

German Shepherd puppies, 4 months, female, HOME SEARCH .

Compulsory sterilization at 6 months of age.
will be made to sign forms of adoption and post adoption checks will be made .

FOR INFO CONTACT: 3407887738
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Paco, beautiful Amstaff, looking for family !!!!!

THIS WONDERFUL AMSTAFF CALLED PACO HAS 6 YEARS ,

AND MORE FROM 'LIVES OF THREE YEARS IN A SMALL BOX OF A KENNEL .

SERIOUS PROBLEMS FOR FAMILY IS PACO AND 'WAS BROUGHT IN WITH THE KENNEL BY OWNERS HOPE ONE DAY THAT THEY CAN RETURN TO HOME BUT AFTER ALL THESE YEARS AND PACO ' YET LI 'E NOW YOU SEARCH FOR A FAMILY THAT HE CAN TAKE CARE OF HIM.

Unfortunately ' IN ALL THESE YEARS AND PACO' BECOME ataxia.

The NALL ATAXIA IS LACK OF COORDINATION OF MOVEMENTS BUT ALL THIS DOES NOT PREVENT A PACO TO BE A DOG BUT COMPLETELY self-sufficient Definitely not suitable for living in a shelter.

AND PACO ' Sweeter with people, has a great need for affection .....

PLEASE HELP U.S. FIND HIM FOR A FAMILY THAT CAN GIVE YOU ALL THAT NOW HE 'WAS DENIED IN THESE YEARS !!!!!!

BE MADE EXPECTATIONS AND PRE AND POST WILL BE 'DONE SIGN THIS FORM FOR ADOPTION .

TAKE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ITALY

Information:

Marialaura 348 7121962 maxmajo@alice.it

Alessia 3478730442 a.asti @ crisconf.it

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Remigio in kennels for 8 years ..

finale ligure, adopted in all NORTHERN ITALY

REMIGIO breton is a mere 10 years, from 8 in the kennel!

Adoption urgent not let him die within four walls!

If you are interested in its adoption of the contacts numbers:
Tel: 019/694198 Mobile: 338/9877569
www.caniledifinaleligure.com
info@caniledifinaleligure.com

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Benny got lost in Bergamo find it .. help .. thanks a lot ..

on 28/08/2008 BENNY, mestizos MALE

SIZE SMALL

SHORTHAIR WHITE AND BROWN

10 YEARS!!

TATTOO: 29BG091L

And who should see him, 'Please call the following numbers :

_035 312509 - 338 9213551

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are beautiful puppy Setter in Bergamo area ..

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look beautiful Maremma was lost .. URGENT APPEAL

FOG ,
Meticcia MAREMMARE MALE 5 YEARS AND ' RUN LONGER THAN 10 DAYS AGO FROM + SERIATE FOR NEGLIGENCE OF FIREWORKS.

AND FOG 'Distrust and NOT EASILY be approached by strangers.

fear THAT MAY HAVE BEEN IN SOME COMMON ensnare AGREEMENT WITH THE KENNELS THE PROVINCE OF BRESCIA!

NOT HAVE A PHOTO BUT UNFORTUNATELY FOG is very similar to MAREMMARE A MEDIUM IN SIZE AND IN THE LONG WHITE COAT.

AND FOG ' TATTOO TATTOOS BUT COULD BE VERY READABLE!
THOSE WHO HAD sighted and 'PLEASE CALL PAUL


338/4583991 333/2441302 or Daniel

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!!!!!!!!

URGENT

The Forest seized a farm.

the structure were mainly Beagles but also some examples of Dogs, Italian Spinone and Petit-bleu.

Wanted URGENTLY stalls for more than 210 dogs .

If dogs are not carried anywhere else in a short time, we will proceed with the release from seizure to the owner .

Anyone could offer stall or temporary adoption of these dogs, contact us at
:
335-5415757 347-9263487 Carmela Paola
carmelamusto@gmail.com

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Ray has left us .. Adoption

You will remember the sweet Ray .. .. unfortunately left us to solitude and heartbreak .. here's his sad story:

Ray had arrived in kennels in January 2008, arrived already 'which was not in great shape, maybe it was a dog of any farm, become perhaps the number which then no longer needed '...

Few words, lots of anger and helplessness that we feel voluntary ...

A walk every 3 weeks, when it's luxury ... to die alone in a small box shared with another fellow-sufferer, lying on the ground, on a cold floor without a bed without a blanket, but above all, without a gentle caress ....

This' the bleakness and sadness of the dogs that sometimes resign themselves and die of loneliness and heart crack in a shabby box, and that 'unfortunately the fate of many dogs no longer' young and maybe not too beautiful or race ...

This time 'touched a ray, but how many dogs like him, what happens' ...

this 'cause the people adopt pets and then abandon them , washing the conscience' cause rather than treat their dog if ill, abandon them in shelters or on the streets, so there are shelters to receive them, but too many do not know that their fate and 'marked ....

We just people reading this story reflects ...

sweet little Hello Ray, you're always in our memories, we think that you left a cruel world and that hour run in the green meadows on the rainbow bridge with a lot of your fellow sufferers ... and forgive us if we could not make you happy in a new home ... but not always depend on us!

I'm sorry really so much for the beautiful and sweet Ray .. and I feel guilty myself that I could not contribute to his salvation .. (

Hello Ray .. now run and play it on the Rainbow Bridge .. and forgive us all ..

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urgent beautiful Prince .. ADOPTED !!!!!!!!!!

BERGAMO, 28/08/2008

adopted in all NORTH AND CENTRAL ITALY

PRINCE OF 5 Locked YEARS IN KENNEL, Limp NOW FROM A Zampetti, DO NOT take it anymore ', ask for help!

PRINCE is a dog of medium size, not tall, small in stature, with short hair fawn color .

has about seven years and only five long years that it is locked up in kennels , 5 years can take a short walk only once a month and then close the box is the only cement his house, he clings to the bars and from there look for the world.

Saturday I took him to walk after a month, all the while gasping for anxiety and joy of being outside, as if trying to grasp all the world he saw, as if it were not so happy to be able to express .

The few times that someone looks at him he smiles, poses seems to be chosen, is a tenderness that will pierce the heart .

Prince has very large and liquid eyes, cute, looks like a child looks at you straight in the eye, this time asking if you just bring it away, you see anxiety and expectation and hope , his eyes seem to ask for help.

E 'pushed to its limits not take it anymore, now began to limp from one paw and do not know why has inflammation, but can not find healing where locked , always on the cement without even a blanket to lean on or a kennel, in the middle of the bathroom of his pee. there will only get worse.

Prince urgently need to leave the kennel, he needs a house, affection, Heat is a very sweet dog, with eyes as big of a small child enclosed a tender nose, please help him .

FOR INFO CONTACT: 3406414006

ILARIA ilariagiavazzi@alice.it

LAURETTA 3407887738 lally68@gmail.com

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Paris needs a family .. We help

BERGAMO, 28/08/2008
TAKE IN ALL NORTH AND CENTRAL ITALY

PARIS, a charming little dog, looking for home

PARIS, is a female small in size, the hair, the coat color of a beautiful fawn and white nose .

Paris is only 4 years , arrived just in kennels but suffers a lot to stay locked up in a box .

We called Paris because, as the city whose name it bears she looks like a dog suitable for lovers, tender, elegant and petite .

Paris is a charming dog, and also very sweet and shy, he wants to get out of there, leave, often feels cry.

his turn to walk it every 3 weeks, and for the rest of the time you are close to the bars and look with your eyes the world outside, as if he knew that his world is not that gray box and narrow, she does not belong to him.

's young, have a life ahead of them, carry it with us to see the world, his eyes alive and very smart now are getting a little' anxious, suffering, and you see it, but would become serene and peaceful, happy if he could move, walk, see the grass, to be loved.

Adottiamola

Information:
ILARIA 3406414006 3407887738 ilariagiavazzi@alice.it
LAURETTA lally68@gmail.com

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sweet Greta ..

BERGAMO, 28 / 08/2008

TAKE IN ALL NORTH AND CENTRAL ITALY

GRETA, sweetest dog in the kennel of only 2 years , search a family to adopt

Greta has this name because it is a very sweet name often found in fairy tales, and she is a sweet little dog, as they are sometimes fairy tales.

Greta is white and black, is a cross between a cocker spaniel and a griffon, and is medium in size but not high.

And 'Young, Greta has only 2 years , we do not know how she arrived at the shelter, but its extreme sweetness makes one think that it is not escaped.

E 'come In August, the height of the summer holidays and we think that those people who may have deserted to go on vacation do not know what they have lost not take walks with her in the mountains, not to play with her on the beach evening.

The characteristic of the dog Greta is joy, sweetness, trust, we think that it was used to being at home, pampering, the words .

The kennel is hard and sad for all the dogs, but the softer, more human, suffer the most.

for them is more incredible to be suddenly thrown into a box close to where they can not go out except once a month, put themselves into a corner with a heart full of sadness, and waiting time to pass.

Greta We help to get out of that place, its sweetness will pay us for everything that we won.

FOR INFO CONTACT: 3406414006

ILARIA ilariagiavazzi@alice.it

LAURETTA 3407887738 lally68@gmail.com

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Tigrotto needs a family .. TAKEN !!!!!! Help

BERGAMO, 26/08 / 2008
TAKE ALL NORTH AND CENTRAL ITALY

Tigrotto, sweet and affectionate dog looking for home

Tigrotto dog is a tender cut of medium-small, sweet and affectionate.

We named it because it is tiger brindle and has a nice nose and nice , might seem like a tiger cub as a nice little Panda.

With a name like sweet Tigrotto important and could only be tender, he about 4/5anni but his sweetness and his desire for human contact like those of a puppy expert .

Every time we go in his box Tigrotto stick to our legs, and then gives us the paw, then if you ask her to give the other paw and you tend to call you ... then starts alla'aria belly, as if to say I am, here I am, take me, I give you my love, my trust, you let me out of here, take me with you.

See a tender one so does her heart pound, you would want to cuddle and just be there for her and how many times we have to go hand in front of his box quickly, ignoring his nose that juts out between the bars and its leg that she tends to call us.

Tigrotto would be the mascot and the joy of any family, please give this little girl home, because her legs can not unnecessarily stretch between the iron bars that imprison, but to a human being that the string .

She needs hugs, smiles, short walks, and there is nothing in this kennel, in the eyes large sweet ...

Help tigrottina this tender, give her a new life

Information:
ILARIA 3406414006 3407887738 ilariagiavazzi@alice.it
LAURETTA lally68@gmail.com

The Family That Preys 2008

Ugo, a beautiful Husky, finally to emerge from the pound ..

BERGAMO, 26/08/2008
TAKE IN ALL NORTH AND CENTRAL ITALY

UGO, BEAUTIFUL HUSKY PURE TO ALMOST 4 YEARS locked up in kennels. Let us help!

UGO is a beautiful Husky almost pure, elegant, sweet and noble looking.

Saturday I brought in Hugh walk more than a month after that came out of his box, and I was struck by his composure in going on a leash, by his sweet eyes, his hair soft and thick by reddish.

The nose of Hugh's beautiful, white and silver with very soft fur, his tail looks like the bushy tail of a fox and amber.

Ugo has only 6 years old and I can not believe that a dog so beautiful, nearly pure, is locked up in kennels for 4 long years, the only explanation is that Hugh was in a prison box behind, after all, and no one sees .

But we ask you to look at this wonderful dog that only young, came into the shelter, which can walk out in only 20 minutes per month to 4 years her beauty and her sweetness doomed to grow old in a box invisible .

Saturday it was obvious that Hugh wanted to go out, but not blowing, there he looked a bit 'surprised and full of gratitude , accepted my caresses, even if I do not know, the eyes Soft and smart looking at me.

I thought it must be wonderful to walk with him in a forest in winter.
But Ugo perhaps has never seen a forest in winter ... after 20 minutes of walking was beginning to be happy ... and it was time to lock him up again ... when?

's so beautiful, noble and elegant gait, his eyes calm and intelligent, sweet, would be the pride and joy for anyone to adopt .

Please do not leave him there, Hugh was born for the open spaces, for the sun, the fields, to watch the snow.

For a human being to look after.

Ugo dog is in fact a human, very human, the sweetness and intelligence of his eyes forget, are made to the relationship with the man.

Let save this long imprisonment, adottiamolo

Information:
ILARIA 3406414006 3407887738 ilariagiavazzi@alice.it LAURETTA lally68@gmail.com

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Conan, beautiful Dalmatian ..

Dear Friends,

forgive me but these days I was in the mountains and I could not update the blog .. forgive me .. but immediately dispose of ..

maximum diffusion

bolzano
23/08/2008 - conan after 6 years living among the family hugs and love

home .. we are looking at usual -

the baby is born and there is no room for conan

Dalmatian is a very beautiful and good ..

is located in Bolzano, but we are willing to take throughout northern Italy

provided serious people and controllable in time

For information contact 3389048402

joy viceversabz@libero.it